Egann on 14 June 2014
It really depends on how much of the Mario Kart/ E3 inertia the Wii U keeps and how much the X1 recovers when the kinect is unbundled.
Two things must happen at the same time for the X1 to catch up to the Wii U's sales numbers.
- The Wii U must lose at least 50% of the inertia it has from Mario Kart and E3.
- The Xbox 1 must gain at least 50% more sales than it was pushing before the unbundling.
A fall after Mario Kart is certain, as is a boost in sales with unbundling, but the extent makes this reasonably unlikely to happen. I think Reggie is right and Nintendo will solidify their position in second place, but it's really too early to tell.
