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Twilord on 09 June 2014
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Dr.Henry_Killinger said:
Twilord said:
Dr.Henry_Killinger said:
DevilRising said:
lol Why do so many people feel confident that PS4 is going to sell around 12 million in 2014?

Because I'm fairly sure none of the systems will do those kind of numbers.

Basic math

 + 

= 11.8 PS4 (12 million) 7.2 Wii U(7.5 Million) 6 XB1 (6.3 million)

rounded up to account for this month's sales.

in this estimate the Vita would be outsold by the PS4.


Sure, if you want to completely ignore the single largest variable in the GAMES industry then you're absolutely right about the Wii-U's sales. - Truthfully its not going to outsell the PS4 but if you honestly think its gonna have less than 9.5 million at the end of the year I'm willing to make a bet of $25 on Amazon against you.

What are the terms of your bet and why do you think I'm ignoring games?


Your calculation for the Wii-U is merely adding another 0.9 to it - which it achieved with only one noteworthy game (that while very well recieved critically was definitely not a system seller) while we're currently in the middle of Mario Kart, looking forward to Smash Bros, and have a good number of other games strongly believed to be due out this year (Yarn Yoshi, SMTxFE, Bayonetta, X, Hyrule Warriors, Sonic Boom) which will at the very least stop the console from looking barren.

I will include two highly improbably clauses for termination of the bet; if a main-series Wii-U Zelda somehow is out this year the bet is off (for your sake); if Smash Bros somehow isn't out this year the bet is also off (for my sake).

The number we'll be using to determine if this is the case will be the number of total world-wide Wii-U sales listed on VGChartz on the first week of February of 2015 minus the number of sales that had happened in 2015 itself.

I leave it up to you to decide if you want a margin of error such as 9.4 through 9.6 being neutral territory where no-one pays. I'm very open to the discussion of terms.