I'll tell you why Nintendo fans are so excited over 1 week's worth of sales.

[Aielyn]

biglittlesps said:

Aielyn said:
Off the back of Mario Kart Wii, Smash Bros Brawl, Animal Crossing City Folk, and Wii Fit (plus Wii Music), the Wii sold more than a million a week in the five weeks leading up to Christmas in 2008. Between those five weeks, it sold more than 6.4 million units. The idea that the Wii U could sell 7.3 million over 7 months is not unreasonable, if the Wii U manages to gather momentum, noting that it's got Mario Kart 8, is going to get Smash Bros U, is frequently predicted to be getting Animal Crossing U (expected to be announced at E3), and is also known to be getting Bayonetta 2, X, Wii Sports Club, Hyrule Warriors, Sonic Boom, and Watch Dogs. Plus anything announced for 2014 at E3.

Is it guaranteed, nowhere near it. But the possibility can't be dismissed so easily.

A plausible sequence goes like this:

June: 500,000 (thanks to Mario Kart 8 + a small bump from E3)

July: 350,000 (Wii Sports Club)

August: 350,000 (Bayonetta 2 + a surprise title)

September: 400,000 (Hyrule Warriors + another surprise title)

October: 600,000 (X, Animal Crossing U, Watch Dogs + beginning of holiday season)

November: 2.2 million (Smash Bros U, Sonic Boom + holidays + Black Friday)

December: 2.9 million (holiday sales + big push by Nintendo)

Total: 7.3 million

Note that this is not a prediction. It is merely a demonstration that, given a sufficient amount of momentum, the Wii U could achieve it. Note that the "surprise titles" would be titles of the sort that Nintendo wouldn't announce well in advance - typically, these are the titles oriented towards the mainstream, rather than gamers.

Also note that the games in brackets aren't meant to be a full list of titles, just the most notable ones - they're also attempts at guessing release months for various games.

5.1 Millions in 2 month of Holidays for Wii U is not realistic even considering the titles you mention and what you mean big push by Nintendo(price cut to 200$?). I would like to hear about your prediction for PS4 and Xbox one for these two months.

It's definitely the ultimate optimistic case. I don't actually expect it to quite do that well. But if Nintendo were to play a perfect 7 months from now until the end of the year, it's achievable. And the big push is referring to various methods - high levels of advertising, various deals, bundles, possible price drop, etc.

I don't have much by way of predictions for PS4 and Xbox One, except that I expect PS4 to easily outperform Xbox One worldwide. If I had to put any sort of figure on PS4 numbers, I'd probably use 2011 PS3 numbers as a rough guide - this would put PS4 December sales somewhere around 3.6 million, and November sales around 2 million.

Incidentally, my Wii U sequence isn't all that different to Xbox 360's 2012 sales pattern.