Aielyn said:
Off the back of Mario Kart Wii, Smash Bros Brawl, Animal Crossing City Folk, and Wii Fit (plus Wii Music), the Wii sold more than a million a week in the five weeks leading up to Christmas in 2008. Between those five weeks, it sold more than 6.4 million units. The idea that the Wii U could sell 7.3 million over 7 months is not unreasonable, if the Wii U manages to gather momentum, noting that it's got Mario Kart 8, is going to get Smash Bros U, is frequently predicted to be getting Animal Crossing U (expected to be announced at E3), and is also known to be getting Bayonetta 2, X, Wii Sports Club, Hyrule Warriors, Sonic Boom, and Watch Dogs. Plus anything announced for 2014 at E3. Is it guaranteed, nowhere near it. But the possibility can't be dismissed so easily. A plausible sequence goes like this: June: 500,000 (thanks to Mario Kart 8 + a small bump from E3) July: 350,000 (Wii Sports Club) August: 350,000 (Bayonetta 2 + a surprise title) September: 400,000 (Hyrule Warriors + another surprise title) October: 600,000 (X, Animal Crossing U, Watch Dogs + beginning of holiday season) November: 2.2 million (Smash Bros U, Sonic Boom + holidays + Black Friday) December: 2.9 million (holiday sales + big push by Nintendo) Total: 7.3 million Note that this is not a prediction. It is merely a demonstration that, given a sufficient amount of momentum, the Wii U could achieve it. Note that the "surprise titles" would be titles of the sort that Nintendo wouldn't announce well in advance - typically, these are the titles oriented towards the mainstream, rather than gamers. Also note that the games in brackets aren't meant to be a full list of titles, just the most notable ones - they're also attempts at guessing release months for various games. |
That is completely unreasonable. Wii U will barely manage half of those sales this year. I'm not going to go into the details but that is utterly impossible.
