| Fastrabbit09 said: a) wii should reach 45mil this year, while ps360 will combine for 45-48mil...and then next year it'll surpass it pretty quickly with the increased production...so i expect 50% in october and then lose it during holidays when supply = can't outsell ps360 and then gain it back for good next winter b) vast majority of their games have come out? what about the following in the works: donkey kong, kirby, kid icarus, metroid, pikmin, pilotwings, disaster: day of crisis? some of those will come in 2008, others in 2009 what about the following possibilities not yet revealed: zelda wii, mario tennis, mario golf, f-zero, waverace, pokemon wii, etc etc c) the reason we believe wii will get over 50% is because production will increase soon...also, nintendo isn't shipping ALL of production right now because they don't wanna overshoot their fiscal-year targets and they wanna have stock for mario kart and especially wii fit also, their 'big games' really affects GAMERS...all the new gamers buying wii for wii sports and wii fit don't care about those games...and just like wii fit came out of nowhere last year, there is nothing to say that we won't see a similiar unknown come out next year...besides, they still have wii music and wii motor sports to release also for casuals... |
Even tho you haven't quoted me you seem to be addressing the points i made, so i'll respond.
a. The wii is NOT going to reach 45 million by the end of the year. It's only at 23 million after 70 weeks. It took the wii 67 weeks with two holiday seasons to reach 22 million and you think it will sell another 22 million in the remaining 40 weeks? Yeah not going to happen. At the same time the combined sales of the 360 and ps3 will reach 50 million by the end of the year.
b. Yes the vast majority of the gamecubes/nintendo's proven million selling franchises have already come out for the wii. Last generation the gamecube had 25 million+ selling franchises. Of those 14 have already come out but more importanlty only 10 of those 25 million+ selling franchises made it above 2 million and 7 of those 10 have already come out and of the mega blockbuster selling games out their nintendo only had 4 - smash bros, mario, zelda and mario kart and 3 out of those 4 have already been released. None of those games you mentioned are in the same hardware pushing league as grand theft auto, gran turismo, final fantasy, fable, metal gear solid etc.
c. Like i said, nintendo shipping more hardware will only effect america because the wii isn't supply constrained in japan or europe. Even if nintendo ships more to america the increase their will be wiped out by microsofts and sonys up coming price cuts and the large amount of AAA multi million selling games coming out for the 360/ps3
