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Do people really believe that none of the companies announcing their lineup as "including..." will have any surprises? I can't be certain that Sega will, but people seem to be acting as though, when Sega says "our lineup includes A, B, C, and D", that this means they couldn't possibly be keeping a game secret for announcement at E3.

Especially given that they could just be referring to games they'll have on the show floor.

Oh, and I'd like to point out that Sega has a booth, and so does Atlus. All four games announced from Sega are actually Sega titles, not Atlus titles. There are six Atlus titles confirmed to be at E3, including one "unannounced" one:
Persona 4 Arena Ultimax (PS3/360)
Persona Q (3DS)
Persona 4: Dancing All Night (PS Vita)
Abyss Odyssey (PC, PS3, 360)
Citizens of Earth (3DS, Wii U, PC, PS Vita, PS4)
*Unannounced Title* (PC, PS Vita, PS4)

So in terms of the broader "Sega", there'll be at least 10 games at the show. And possibly more that are announced, but not on the show floor (or even just being kept under wraps).