a) wii should reach 45mil this year, while ps360 will combine for 45-48mil...and then next year it'll surpass it pretty quickly with the increased production...so i expect 50% in october and then lose it during holidays when supply = can't outsell ps360 and then gain it back for good next winter
b) vast majority of their games have come out? what about the following in the works: donkey kong, kirby, kid icarus, metroid, pikmin, pilotwings, disaster: day of crisis? some of those will come in 2008, others in 2009
what about the following possibilities not yet revealed: zelda wii, mario tennis, mario golf, f-zero, waverace, pokemon wii, etc etc
c) the reason we believe wii will get over 50% is because production will increase soon...also, nintendo isn't shipping ALL of production right now because they don't wanna overshoot their fiscal-year targets and they wanna have stock for mario kart and especially wii fit
also, their 'big games' really affects GAMERS...all the new gamers buying wii for wii sports and wii fit don't care about those games...and just like wii fit came out of nowhere last year, there is nothing to say that we won't see a similiar unknown come out next year...besides, they still have wii music and wii motor sports to release also for casuals...
Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08. Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)
Predictions:
Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07 CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
