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naznatips estimated that the devs see $25 per game sold. At 500,000 games sold, that is $12.5 million, dodece. So even if they were $15 million as in your estimate (which I find low for a next gen game that spans four discs) they still lost money with the prime selling period behind them. that is for LO, btw. For Blue Dragon, which I can see being maybe around the $15 million mark from the very little bit that I know, 470,000 copies and $25 per game is $11.75 million and a loss. then you got to remember that there seemed to be a LO commercial during every commercial break on a station like G4 and other channels that appealed to the gaming audience, these guys seem to have a hard time making money.

 

edit: and the little bit that I know is that Killzone 2 is supposedly around $60 million and Uncharted cost $20 million and MGS is supposed around $40 million.