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Well I would like to know out of all the 79% that said no, how many of them already own a PS4.  Because if you already own 1 next gen console, there is not really that much incentive to go out and spend 400$ for another just to play a few exclusives.

Either way, Xbox One will sell a lot more units at a 400$ price tag than at 500$.  Even if it is only 21% of gamers that will, you have got to realize that 21% sitll equates to a lot of people.  

As for 360 owners, I think a lot of them (such as my cousin) are waiting for Halo 5 before making the jump to X1.