WiiU to have a 10 years lifespan

[MaskedBandit2]

padib said:

MaskedBandit2 said:

That is not how the market works.  The Wii U's potential is not 100M just because the Wii sold that.  That doesn't even make sense.  The market changes and customers move from one product to the next.   Each product has its own potential.

Also, Nintendo is going to act in a manner that maximizes profit now and in the future, and that is definitely not with the Wii U.  This thread and its entire premise is so silly.  Nintendo will drop Wii U so hard the first opportunity they get.  The real debate should be whether Wii U's successor comes after 4 years on the market or 5. 

Um, that is how the market works.

There are x fish in the pond.

Alsmot x fish bought product A (we are not sure how many more are left in the pond).
Product B is going after market X. Until X fish have been caught, product B has more fish to catch.

No.

In that analogy, more fisherman came to the pond to catch X fish as well, except they're not throwing the fish back.  Now, there's less X Fish than there was previously.  Or X Fish have smartened up and they no longer like taking the bait the fisherman are using. 

You can't expect the same market and the same customers to purchase future products.  Product potential and ceiling is determined after its available as you can adequately judge market response.  Expecting the same level of sales as previous just because is just bad business practice.  You have to respond to changes and create the need and desire to get people to want to buy your product beforehand - it's never a given.