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Sunset Overdrive will have a much tougher challenge. It is a new IP, and it will take a lot of effort to fight with established franchises. And even though it looks very good, I believe it is too quirky for mass consumption. You know, the colors are too vivid. :)

As for Driveclub, we might never really find out. It will be free. So any number that the charts show will always be offset by the suspicion of massive digital downloads. Heck, I even expect Sony to announce:"Driveclub has been downloaded 3 million times in October..." And any thread here that attempts to address it as a flop once sales figures come in will just get bogged down in that defense...