PS4 and Wii cross streams: Wii now ahead of PS4 at the same point in time

[torok]

jlmurph2 said:

I thought this thread was about Worldwide? But trust if the Wii was available like how the PS4 is/was for these 6 months, there wouldn't be as many of these excuses. Bottom line is that it's not logical for this gen to last as long as 7th gen with how fast tech is moving now. So if PS4 wants to sell more than the Wii, it has to do Wii numbers/better than Wii numbers, which it won't. What's gonna be the excuse when Wii passes it in western numbers too?

Come on, don't downplay it. Even PS3 still can pass the Wii. If that happens, the Wii will be behind PS1/2/3. PS4 will outsell the Wii easily. If you get the current PS360 share, add some growing because of the bigger market and considers that PS4 is getting a bigger share than X1 (because Sony is gaining share while MS is losing it), it is simply a giving.

PS consoles usually sells 25% to 33% of their LT numbers after the successor is out, with that logic even PS3 has a chance of passing the Wii. PS4 is more bound to land somewhere between Wii and PS2 numbers.

Despite that, your affirmation that PS4 has to sell more tham the Wii now is simply wrong. Wii tracked ahead of the PS2 for most of it's life, but it ended 60M units short of it. Sony usually does a great job in having consoles with long cicles to attend 3rd word countries and budget contrained people.

Despite gen lenght, tech isn't moving faster now. It is moving slower as we approach memory bandwidth/ transistor size limits. PS1 was a much bigger advance compared to SNES than PS2 were compared to PS1. In a similar way, PS4 isn't an advance bigger than PS3 vs. PS2 even with the extra time. Tech advances at a regular pace following rules like Moore's Law and there isn't shortcuts. A new console in 4 years  would simply look underpowered. The next gen will probably only happen when real time ray tracing becomes a reality and following NVidias roadmap for PC GPUs, we are still 4 years from that, plus the time needed to improve power consumption and price to put in a console, so we can count a good 6 years time to allow a sizeable jump. 9th gen will be all about ray tracing and devs will need a lot of time to adapt to that (since engines will need to be redone from scratch, but there isn't another way to improve graphics).