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ICStats said:
bigtakilla said:
ICStats said:

Hard to see how you would consider 2017 or 2018 early - that would be 5 to 6 years after Wii U's launch which is not early; if anything it with the way Wii U is doing now 2017/18 seems like too long to wait.

360 vs PS3 is an example where it paid off to be early, so it could work for Nintendo to be a bit early.  It's a double edged sword though, because if the others then come out with more powerful systems then the initial effect may be short lived.

Anyway, I don't think Gen 8 will be that long so I'd consider 2017~18 too late.  I'd say 2015~16 is mid-gen.

Yeah, 2018 would be a bit late I'm realizing, but I'm not talking about mid Wii U gen cycle I'm talking about the competitions. They came out in holiday 2013, so holiday 2017 (practically 2018) would be 4 years into their competitions cycle. This would give Nintendo's console two years to get ports of this gen and another year of cross gen if PS4 and XBone stayed with a 6 year gen cycle, which I believe will be longer. I wouldn't expect a new console from them until 2021 or 2022 which would help Nintendo's new console even more.

I would put my money on 6 years before we see the next PS/Xbox.

This assuming a) no major economic crash, b) they're still in the game business, c) console gaming doesn't change form by then.  What will Steam/Android/Apple/Gaikai and other disruptors we don't know yet do in 6 years?

Agreed, so a holiday 2017 release would still give Nintendo 2 years based on a 6 year gen cycle of games that could be ported before the competition releases theirs in holiday 2019. To me that is a good year. It would allow for Nintendo's hardware to be superior for an actual extended period of time at a reasonable price. We got to take into consideration that every year that goes by, the better the hardware will be at a lower price point.