Sorry to say this, but nintendo is not going to go first on the home front again. The hardcore console crowd s primarily with sony and MS right now, and if nintendo makes the mistake of going first, all sony and ms has to do is start letting rumors of their own much much more powerful future consoles leak out and that alone will stall nintendos launch.
Their best bet, is to ride out the wiiU, and make sure they are there same day and date with the next consoles from sony and MS. And be at least as powerful or more powerful than those consoles before even considering whatever new gaming trend they may want to get behind.
The only way they can get away with not doing any of the above and be successful, is if they somehow pull off another wii phenomenon. But you all know what they say about lightning striking twice.......
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