(almost slightly)BOLD PREDICTION! PS4 will catch WiiU in Japan in 2016

[vivster]

spemanig said:

vivster said:

spemanig said:

You realize that the PS4 is tracking behind the Wii U within the same time frame in sales there, right? The PS4 will never catch the Wii U. None of the PS4 exclusives have the power to boost the PS4 past the Wii U in Japan.

All that matters is that it is currently selling better. And as long as it sells better every week it will catch it eventually.

Also that's why this is totally blod :P

That's not at all what matters. If it continues on the path it's following by tracking behind the Wii U, it can never possibly outsell the Wii U. Thats how sales work.

In order to outsell the Wii U in Japan, it first has to outsell what the Wii U was doing then it was three months old, and it isn't. It's selling less. That means that if it follows this path, by the time it's as old as the Wii U is now, it will be selling less than 7.6K that week, which means that it will have sold less units in the same timespan in Japan than the Wii U, which won't matter to the Wii U because it will be that many month ahead in sales.

It's not bold, it's stupid. The PS4 can outsell the Wii U literally every week, and as long as it tracks behind what the Wii U was doing when it was the PS4's age, it is literally impossible for it to overtake the Wii U in sales.

That's not how I remember my math.

If the PS4 now sells 3k more than WiiU every week the gap will be closed in a mere 400 weeks.

Also: Gap before release of PS4 1,6million. Gap now 1,2 million. Looks to me like it's shrinking. And as long as PS4 sells more than Wii U it will continue to shrink until it caught it.

The only possibility of the PS4 not catching the WiiU will be if it suddenly sells less or the same on a weekly basis.

So I don't really get what your're saying. Maybe you want to elaborate.