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Hmm... For launch week, I think just about anything could happen. A lot depends on what's happening behind the scenes and how Nintendo themselves want to approach things.

Purely as a possibility, I can see anything from 60k at the lowest to 200k at the highest. The number I feel most confident with though is 140k. Obviously it seems ridiculously high, but I think there's a lot of pent up demand, with MK simply acting as the breaking point for all the people that needed a certain amount of titles before jumping on board.

I expect the second week to be around 70% of the first week, and the third week to be about 50% of the first week.

Of course I'd love to see it flop right out of the gate, but I'm not getting my hopes up just yet. :P