gebx said:
Sure it could take 5 to 10 years... (I think its more like 3-5 years, but thats my personal guess) But thats basically how long the Blu Ray should take to hit mass market.. Where not just talking about HD downloads taking share away from Blu Ray, but both formats maturing at the same time. We already have kids who own Ipods with 500+ songs but never purchased a CD in their life. What makes people think that the same won't happen with kids having Apple TV loaded with films an not a single Blu Ray? I don't believe that will be the case with the majority but it will happen... Physical formats will never be as dominant as the DVD |
Downloads haven't even beaten CD's yet and it's take years to even do that. CD's still have over 80% market share and downloads less than 20% share of the revenue. Even iTunes with 80% share of the download market is smaller than biggest CD record record labels. Sure, you can easily find kids with over 500 songs but they probably haven't bought none of them.