| larrysdirtydrawss said: the big guns like amazon,gamespot,walmart ect constantly on the hour has the ps4 easily ahead on best selles list every single day.yet ps4 only outsells it in n.a by a couple of thousand after adjustments? |
If you look at other NPDs, there will be a massive adjustment to cover more ground than the small adjustment that was just made (otherwise VGC would become quite insanely out of whack).
I really hope that VGC can tweak the calculations to get more on track. As of now both PS4/XB1 tracking for 2014 have been consistently broken, to the point where the numbers aren't even useful other than to be shocked each month at the miscalculations. The tracking isn't insanely terrible for other platforms (eg : WiiU, which obviously has less total data to work with anyway), so why these two systems in particular?
XB1 price hike + no major game releases + solid Amazon data indicates strongly that April will be even worse for XB1 than March was.
PS4 momentum should be tepid during this timeframe as well, but there are no negatives to speak of either (bad PR, price hike, hardware/software failures, etc). So all the evidence is there to support the gap to maintain predictably for April (and presumably at least through E3, where Microsoft will need MEGATONS to change the picture meaningfully, as E3 doesn't translate to mass market action in 99% of cases .. it's games on the shelf that people want to buy that change things, along with price and perceived value).
If Microsoft lowers at E3 to $399, and starts hyping the hell out of their 2014 lineup, then they have a chance at winning some weeks and maybe even months in the US. The rest of the world is a lost cause with the slim possibility of a fight in the UK. If Microsoft isn't willing to bleed for it yet and wants to keep at $449/$499 through 2014, or to November 2014+, then they will have a damned hard time even in the US.
There exists a real social/networking momentum in the modern era. If you're a 360/PS3/Wii gamer, and you game in a social context (online and/or trading & playing with friends locally and in your real/virtual communities), then you will be influenced heavily by word of mouth, and if a majority of your friends have bought into PS4, you will lean that way. Ditto XB1 if you have kind of group. THIS is what Microsoft should be concerned about, as the price cut needed to happen yesterday. E3 is the latest that makes sense, fall is risking disaster.
