| fatslob-:O said: Moore's law is dying as we speak right now ... The whole semiconductor industry can't continue to depend on just miniturization for performance gains and all innovations to performance gains such as SIMD model processing have being exhausted for the most part. The last miniturization technology will likely be at a 5nm process node according to ex-Intel microprocessor designer, Bob Colwell. Moore's law is not about surpassing physical limits anymore because at that point an entity would also have to surpass economical limits too as transitioning to a new process node gets prohibitively more and more expensive each time thus becoming harder to justify. Once Intel releases broadwell processors they only have 3 more shrinks left ... |
It's worse than that. The whole industry is now a gen and a half behind Intel. Their "14nm" is worse than Intel's 22nm and doesn't represent an area shrink, so there's no cost reduction.
I don't think it will last to 5nm commercially, at least not with all the current players (Intel, Samsung, TSMC, Globalfoundries).
