There's an orgy of moral freaks in the Russian and Ukrainian sector of various social networks right now, who express no regret, nor remorse, but utterly happy with the death of 40+ people in trade union house in Odessa. At least that was my impression, since I'm not registered in any of said networks, I rely on other people opinions, so my impression might be skewed. There should be rational people out there, right?
Nevertheless the abundance of moral freaks is disturbing. The logic of these excusable murders usually goes in two ways, dead people either regarded as untermenschen, who doesn't deserve regret, or it is explained that these people came from Russia or neighbouring PMR (actually this piece of info even appeared in the news for short period of time), therefore murderers acted as defenders of Odessa and united Ukraine. After getting myself into Ukrainian politics I'm kinda get used to the that incoherent logic -- Ukrainians kill other Ukrainians, but blame Russia, Putin etc. -- unfortunately this delusion is now supported in Washnigton, which is highest level of authority for Ukrainian nutf**ks in Kiev. Unlike them I do realize that they've just killed the actual Odessa inhabitants, not GRU officers, not Russians from some other places, or people hired for money, but people who are as Ukrainian as they are, effecively putting the final nail into the idea of "united Ukraine" they hope to defend.
What will happen next? Well, the other party that suffered 40+ smth deaths is all but committed to take revenge, taking note of everyone who has been caught on camer in those events. Even though I don't think this is going to be productive, but this is smth that is not unplausiable and will only heat up the confrontation, they do not expect justice from authorities means they'll do justice by themselves as they see it. Here goes united Ukraine for you, an idea I have nothing against, but I see that current Kiev authorities, junta for short, will do everything in their power to ruin it.
Here's disposition, South-East Ukraine, or Novorossia (New Russia) as it often regarded by its historical name:
- Donetsk and Lugansk -- extremely pro-Russian, civil war there;
- Kharkov and Odessa -- somewhat borderline situation, there was provocations in Kharkov before, the one in Odessa has ended tragically;
- Dnepropetrovsk, Nikolaev, Zaporozhie, Kherson -- prevalence of pro-Maidan sentiments but no by a whole lot, quiet for now.
Judging by how fast the situation unwinds, by the end of May smth decisive will happen. Before I expected it somewhere by the end of the year, as the economical situation is not getting better, there'll be one Maidan after another in Kiev during that time, but neither of them will be successfull. Either way Ukraine won't survive this, junta probably will go downhill as well.
Did I say Yugoslavian scenario? Well, this is practically it, not nearly as bad for now, but junta is working hard so "Ще не вмерла" ("Ukraine has not yet died", first line from national anthem) will finally die.
