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misterd said:
Success for whom? Microsoft or Rockstar?

I imagine as long as the game sells over 5 million copies, it will turn a profit for the company, regardless of the console. But if it sells anything under 7-8 million, it will be considered a disappointment based on the sales of GTA3/VC/SA.

As for Microsoft, this is a PS established franchise. If you believe, as I do, that each 360 sold likely means that a PS3 was not, being able to take 1/3 of overall sales should put a chink in Sony's base, but I don't think they'll be happy unless they get over 40, maybe 50%.If they can hit 2/3, they'll be dancing in the streets, and Sony reps will be walking ledges.

 The game will turn the profit for much less then 5mil sold, the game is already in the profit form the 50mil MS game to R*.  The game does not cost alot to make,. it looks very band and i imagine it costs cheap to make.