MaulerX said:
Realistically speaking TF is a new IP that carried the burden of being ONLINE ONLY. Lets not forget those distinctions. Halo and Gears of War with competetive pricing should not be underestimated. |
TF has been heavily advertised, has developer pedigree, and the console was more competively priced during it's debut. Online is the big draw for the game. I bet CoD could even get away with no campaign. It's not even the first disc anymore.
It will be 18 months before we see either of those games. By the time they hit the market if sales remain constant then x1 will have a completely backwards position compared to the 360 when it got those games. It will be the console with the smaller userbase and higher price.
I don't think I'm underestimating the games so much as recognizing that the context in which they appear this time will be vastly different. It might be like MK did 34.43 million on Wii but MK8 isn't going to be anywhere near that.