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With their current line ups I think the Wii U will take it. Mario Kart should take Wii U above 100k on a weekly basis (WW) for a handful of weeks at least. That at least should level them although the Vita will likely have a a strong summer in Japan to help stay somewhat competitive. Come the holiday I dont think the Vita can compete worldwide, so the Wii U will steal it by a few 100k.

I dont think anything sony can do will really change that but there are a few unknowns. Minecraft still sells 60k on the 360 on a weekly basis, the Vita edition could bring the system to a respectable level in NA and EU. PS Now is sceduled to launch this summer in the US, that could also give the Vita a boost. I also expect more surprises for the Vita then I do for the Wii U... games are being announced for the west on a daily basis, maybe something like FF Type 0 could change its fortunes.