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thismeintiel on 19 April 2014
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vivster said:
thismeintiel said:
vivster said:
A lot of these haven't really had a chance to come true though yet. Some of these don't even have a time cap so there is still a chance for them to come true. All you're doing is predicting that their predictions won't come true. And we all know how your predictions end.

Don't jinx this gen for us :P

Well, the one's that haven't happened, but are included, are one's that have no chance to come true OR were asserting so assuredly that the One would dominate in the US/NA/UK.  Like the One beating the PS4 in the US (possible) AND EU (not going to happen) by 2015.  Or the PS4 has zero chance at winning the US and/or UK, when right now it's being shown it has a pretty good chance if things continue as they are.


Fair enough but what's with these?

"I don't see a great deal of defection in either camp yet. I think this gen will probably look similiar to last gen. I don't think the XBO or PS4 will crush the competition." - 12/23/13 See bold #2

"Don't get too ahead of yourselves, it's been one week and nothing is decided, a fantastic holiday doesn't equal awesome year-round sales by default. And, let's not count the One out, it will probably take most of the UK and US market and Japan is fast becoming too irrelevant to tip the scales in a big way globally for home consoles." - 11/24/13 I completely agree these are the most reasonable ones, as they speak in probabilities, not obsolutes.  This 2nd one was mainly because of the attitude towards Japan.  In just the ~2 months since launch, Japan has added 500K+ to favor the PS4.  It'll only grow in time, even if slowly (and with spikes from big releases), to become millions the One will have to overcome.

"XB1? It'll be there neck-and-neck with the PS4 all the way through this gen." - 11/23/13 (depending on your definition for "neck and neck")  More absolutes, but mainly for what's implied, and not written.  Just that the One would dominate the PS4 in the US/UK enough to overcome the deficit that EU/JP created.

"Xbox One will win the USA quite handily once price drops. That will be enough to offset PS4 for most of the world. If PS4 sells more it will be by about 10% more." - 7/01/13  While he uses the words "quite handidly," if you look at his 2nd sentence, it's obvious he expects the One to obliterate the PS4 in the US.  There's no other way for the US to pretty much counter the rest of the world, and allow the PS4 to only sell 10% more WW, if it didn't.  Heck, the PS4 has already over by 29%, and that's using the official PS4's sales to One's shipments.  40% if we use VGC.

 These all seem still reasonable. The PS4 is currently constantly better but I wouldn't call it absolute domination. The generation is young and I'm expecting big things to happen this year. I'll wait until after Halo drops. If the PS4 is still dominating after that then I'm on board on domination train.

See bolded.