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Depends, really.
If they make the multiplayer like Halo 4 with loadouts, sprint, unbalanced weapons, less emphasis on free for all, nothing but Halo 5 beta maps, and ordnance drops then I could see TLOU winning.
Now if it's 100% like Halo 2 with updated graphics, forge added and some extra campaign content then Halo 2 will crush TLOU

Hell, I might actually have to buy an Xbone just for it if 343 doesn't screw it up.