| Landguy said: I think your both off base.
During the holidays, the sales gap can be reduced by 200,000 in one week! That doesn't account for the fact that the XB1 will launch in 20+ more territories by years end. That will create an evere greater sales velocity for the XB1. WiiU will be at 7.5-8 million by years end, if it is lucky. The XB1 will be at 9 million +. Won't be close by years end... |
I'm counting the hollydays. My first calculation was only to show that at the current level (lowest possible), the One would get to a close draw at the end of the year. Worst case scenario (basically an impossible one). With Hollydays and a better library, it will pass easily. Despite that, the 20+ territories won't do much of a difference. Most of the sales come from the bigger markets (US, germany, UK, France and Japan). The X1 is out in the bigger markets, except Japan but that doesn't matter for it (except by the few hundred thousand units at launch before it plummets to less than 5k there). The remaining markets are too small and won't help in more than 5% or so. A good bundle in US for Black Friday can do much more than an entire year for these remaining countries.
I agree with the gap you sugested, but because of US Hollydays and BF, not because of the remaining countries. These gaps shrink faster than it looks. It looks like it was yesterday when PS4 was at 1M from the gap and it just took one big games and Japanese launch to fly over the gap and put an extra 1M advantage. People forget that PS4 is beasting and One is doing great in US while Wii U is pretty low. It's a two consoles race right now, at least in the US.
