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Uhh no.

XOne MIGHT have a CHANCE (a chance only) as long as the 449 Titanfall bundle lasts, but despite popular opinion that wont be forever.

More likely, if the console goes back to being Forza bundle for 499, there are going to be a couple very poor sales months before E3 (where I assume they will announce a Kinectless SKU, price drop, or other major change to boost fortunes), and lots of overreaction predictions of doom etc.

Heck even if X1 keeps 449 TF bundle right to E3, I'd still put there odds at way less than even of winning April and May NPD.

Of course if they have a stellar March NPD I might change my tune on that.