-Xbox One will win March because of Titanfall and price cuts
I agree.
-Xbox One will win April because of Kinect Sports Rivals and the fact the PS4 will have caught up with demand 100%
Maybe April, but in May the PS4 has MLB 14 and Bound By Flame and maybe Planetside 2, with Last Of Us maybe in the summer, the next few NPD months will be very close.
-It's tradition to buy Madden, Call of Duty, etc on Xbox Platforms in the US
It was tradition to buy it on Xbox 360 instead of PS3, but now the tide is slowly turning for this gen. Just look at the preorder gap for games like Watch_Dogs and Destiny. And with COD being rumored to have the PS4 as its lead platform, it will definitely grab FPS fans.
-Microsoft has better advertising
However Sony is definitely stepping up their game with advertising compared to last gen.
-Microsoft will have more casual appeal once kinect games and apps start rolling out
I think price and general 'group' thinking is more of a factor that sways casual gamers, and the PS4 has the advantage here.
Bear in mind also that many core gamers will choose the ps4 over its future prospects, such as PSnow, Morpheus, and solely on the fact that they have built the reputation of being the company which produces the most varied titles, spanning from New IPs to classics to remakes to indies and so on.
