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Kasz216 said: You expected a Balkinization due to ethnic groups like the Tatars whole cocked wanting to stay inedpendent. Crimea says 40% of them did.... They're around 15% of the population. Yet 95-97% of the vote was still to join Russia? |
And one more thing on Tatars issue, since I have much more in common with them than probably everyone in this thread put together.
I didn't expect Balkanization per se, with Tatars minority it's virtually impossible given their spread over the territory of Crimea. As you see they avoid urbanized areas, but their spread over the rural areas is more or less even and range 25-30%:

What I said is blodshed possible due to ethnical tensions artificially supported by Majlis and Kurultay, which supposed to represent all Crimean Tatars but hardly represent 15% of them, less than 2% of total population, as per recent vote in Rada (here's Abduraimov interview I mentioned earlier on the matter, in Russian). These 2% I expect to be strictly nationalistic, others -- not so much.
Referendum data broken down by region doesn't show any significant difference in votings.







