All VGC did was this equation 6 mil = (X(NA Sales)+Y(EU Sales)) + Z (Japan, Media Create)
VGC Knew 2 of the variables and made X and Y fit the equation. The problem is multifold. One being there is a low probability that the PS4 is RIGHT at 6 mil. Most likely it is safely over 6 mil or else Sony would have waited 1 more week to ensure they were not jumping the gun. The real issue is what will happen when NDP is released and PS4 is undertracked by say, 100k for FEB. What will happen is since the assumption is that PS4= 6 mil at this date they will simply deduct the numbers from EU to make the above equation still fit, which could lead to more undertracking because they will adjust their variables to that new number.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
