Sharu said:
| Captain_Tom said:
But now it just seems like Putin has surrounded himself with "Yes-men" and has made a big mistake. I get the Russian point of view here and I honestly think that Russia wasn't totally in the wrong when it sent troops to Crimia. Having said that I think this will end very badly for Russia if they fully invade the Ukraine. This will happen:
1) Russia will become locked in a costly war with a real modern military. Yes, Russia will totally when, but it isn't like you are fighting insurgents hiding in caves anymore. They have tanks, jets, milions of soldiers, and modern weapons.
2) America will fund the Ukrainian military and cause a prolonged war.
3) The Tartars will start an Anti-Russian insurgency
4) The Chechens will heat up their insurgency in Russia's time of weakness.
5) Some (not all) western powers will partially cripple Russia's economy.
So I guess my question is: What do you think of all this?
I study international law, and I really think Russia is in trouble this time...
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1. You need military power to stay independant.
2. Amerika funding 'Ukrain independance' last 25 years at least. Nuland said you spend 5 billion dollars on it last 15 years, so nothing really changes.
3. Krimean Tatars - its not much of them. And Russian muslims of Chechnia and Tatarstan already send its people to Crimea and as I understand some agreements between muslims have been made.
4. Currently - no. Not Chechens. Also all this Caucasian terrorism was a thing only because of a huge financial support of it from USA and Arab countires (Quatar first here).
5. Currently any sanctions against Russia will strike back to who makes this sanctions. The world became small and interconnected. Even if West will stop buying our gas and oil (which will be a suicide for EU) - we can sell it to China and don't care.
All the world is in trouble, at least last 5-6 years its obvious. We'll see what will happen when the things will happen, both you and I are small enough to influence big things like a world war.
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I don't think anyone wants a world war. What do you want out of this situation?
In my opinion Ukraine should just give up Crimia and accept that it should probably belong to Russia.
