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MTZehvor on 05 March 2014
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shikamaru317 said:
MTZehvor said:
Landguy said:
Not sure how people think the XB1 is doing bad?

It is at nearly 4 million consoles in less than 4 months and will likely be at 8 million+ by the end of the year if not more. M$ is not stupid, they will continue to throw the incentives and price drops to erase the price difference with the PS4. That and the continued megaspend on advertising will even things out. I wouldn't be surprised if they get past the WiiU by the end of November. No looking back after that.

Keep in mind that 3 million of the X-Box One's sales were launch/Christmas season sales, so this isn't a fair comparison by any stretch of the imagination. The only major "exclusive" (read: system seller) launching this year for X-Box One that we know about so far is Titanfall, meaning the the X-Box One isn't likely to rise too far above the 50-60K a week it seems to be hovering at. At that pace, it would take fiften to twenty weeks to simply add another million sales, and there are only 43 or so weeks left in the year, and roughly 39 until the end of November. 8 million sales by November's time is pretty far fetched, barring Microsoft having some unannounced big name exclusive hitting the market later this year.

Microsoft does have more countries to release in, not only will the Xbox One see launch week boosts from those countries, but they'll increase weekly baseline sales as well. And though Titanfall is currently the only confirmed system seller the Xbox One has for this year, leaks and hinting point to Halo 2 Anniversary (with multiplayer and Halo 5 beta access) as well. The Xbox One should see boosts above baseline during release weeks for big multiplat games like Watch Dogs and Destiny as well. A $100 price drop in time for the Holiday season is a definite possibility as well (and a $100 drop boosted the PS3 up to nearly 3.4m between November and December). I definitely think 10 million Xbox One's by the end of 2014 is possible, and 8 million by the end of November is possible as well. 

None of the countries it hasn't launched in will provide any significant sales boost, and besides, we still have no confirmed launch date for any of those countries.

Quite frankly, I have my doubts about the X-Box One seeing much of a boost with multi-plats being released not only on last gen consoles, but on Sony and PC (in the case of Watch Dogs) as well. A re-release of Halo 2 (which, I might add, isn't even confirmed yet, and might not even release this year), a couple of multiplats, and Titanfall aren't going to suddenly make up another 2 million sales.

There is the possibility for a price cut, certainly, although Microsoft has repeatedly stated they're not bringing the X-Box One below $500, but whatever, let's say that happens for the sake of argument. Your comparison isn't taking into account the issue of holiday sales, a much more fair comparison would be the PS3 with the price cut in a month where holiday sales aren't driving up console sales immensley. And in that case, while there is certainly an average of improvement, it is absolutely nowhere near a 3.4 million unit increase.

...and, well, obviously if you make the price cut during holiday sales, you take away any room to reach 8 million by the end of November, since the majority of the holiday sales come in December.