Over 90% of gamers do NOT own a ‘next-gen’ console

[binary solo]

DJEVOLVE said:
Yes so all the chest pounding is useless. Anything can happen.

A planet killing asteroid could hit the earth this year too. But is it likely? Just because anything can happen does not mean there's an equal chance of all the various permutations coming about. All the advantages are with PS4, and nothing MS can realistically do will reverse what we're seeing.  Xb one can only slow down the rate at which PS4 is building its lead. Europe is lost to Xb one, Japan was never ever going to go over to Xbox. MS can perhaps hope for parity in North America with some pretty drastic measures. 

The rest of the world is small change, but still in most of the minor markets PS4 has the win locked in. You may remember a thread I made some time ago noting that PS3 is the number 2 home console of all time in "The rest of the world" countries (the only console aside from PS2 to get over 10 million in sales). Xb one has no chance to gain substantially in that category of countries, and neither does Wii U. The fact Xb one hasn't even launched in most of those rest of world countries (for which you can blame language localisation for Kinect voice recognition) while PS4 is selling largely unopposed drives home the unlikelihood of Xb one making substantial gains on PS4. As PS3 handily won these minor markets it makes PS4 all but unstoppable.

Xbox 360 was the number 3 console (and by a substantial margin) in far more markets than it was number 2 or number 1. That puts Xb one in a not particularly hopeful situation. So aside from maybe getting back into a slight lead in North America and a slim chance of regaining a lead in the UK, where exactly is the Xb one turnaround going to come from?

And for Wii U, pinning all the hopes of Wii U on an old franchise that didn't help N64 or GC win their respective generations pretty much says everything that needs to be said about Wii U's prospects. Until Nintendo gives the world some amazing new IP (and more than one), for the core gaming audience, all it will do is continue to sell its stock franchise games to a high proportion of a small audience.

Just because only 7% of gamers have already "voted", doesn't mean you can't call the "election". The generation is now Sony's to lose. If Sony merely doesn't screw up the win is in the bag. MS and Nintendo can do things to reduce the winning margin, but it requires Sony to muck things up for one of them to get a come from behind victory.