Reasonable on 17 March 2008
If by 'Win' you mean sell most volume of consoles in units - then very probably not.
I would go so far to say that unless MS find a way to get a console out that attracts the PS2 / Wii so called 'Casual gamer' they will in fact never take number one spot, that will most likely go to either Nintendo or Sony depending on who best attracts that demographic each generation of consoles - and as we can see from the PS2 to Wii crossover that title can easily change depending upon the console.
So no, I don't think so. Not with their current standing after the longest presence in the market and with the strong association of Xbox brand with FPS and hardcore gamers.
Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...
