starcraft said:
Perhap. BUt I think your being a tad optomistic. The reign of DVD won't end for at least 4 years. After that, both legal and illegal downloads will have advanced significantly. The problem is now HD DVD is gone people think we have hit Blu-Ray's time, but it is nowhere NEAR mass market yet. |
The time it takes for Blu-Ray to pass DVD has nothing to do with how feasible HD downloads are, thus has nothing to do with Blu-Ray vs. download in the HD realm. (Blu-Ray not passing DVD is not a failure.)
It will take fewer than 4 years for Blu-Ray sales to pass DVD sales.
Blu-Ray has sold more in its first couple years than DVD did in its first few.
"The first DVD players and discs were available in November 1996 in Japan, March 1997 in the United States, 1998 in Europe and in 1999 in Australia. By 2003 DVD sales and rentals topped those of VHS"
http://www.didyouknow.cd/dvd/dvdhistory.htm
But since Blu-Ray players can play DVD discs, adoption of Blu-Ray will be much swifter than was the adoption of DVD, whose players could not, of course, play VHS tapes.







