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We could see a slow burn and long legs. We have no idea what this generation holds. For all we know the PS4 could evolve to have a full 10 year life span before a successor comes along. If that is the case PS4 could really come into its own in Japan in 2016 or so and have plenty of time to gain tremendous support there. With the X1 seemingly looking like a non factor and Nintendo weakened on console front I would say the PS4 in Japan will cruise to number one slot and base don how market develops will do at least PS3 numbers and potentially base don life span, closer to PS2 sales.