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Assuming inventory is not an issue, I would guess 300K in the first 48 hours and 500K for the full week. Unlike the western launch lineup, the Japanese launch lineup is actually pretty strong relative to the Japanese audience. Yakuza is a huge franchise there and Ishin scored a 39/40 in Famitsu. Nobunaga and Dynasty Warriors also scored well and should have strong sales there. Complementing them with ACIV, COD, BF4, Tomb Raider, and Strider HD and that's a pretty darn good launch lineup IMO. In addition to that, the consumers don't have a decision to be made on whether to get those next-gen multi-plat games on the XB1 since the XB1 isn't out in Japan yet. So in essence these are all next-gen exclusives on the PS4. I emphasize next-gen as I understand that some of these are available on last-gen platforms.