nitekrawler1285 said:
pokoko said:
nitekrawler1285 said:
Where is the software that makes everyone assume the PS4 is going to dominate in Japan?
The way I see PS4 has all the same problems PS3 had in Japan. Development costs are high which means more time and money per title but less overall titles. Western games will come regularly but I have yet to see one eclipse a million in the Japan.
It took any publisher in Japan that can sell over a million copies of a game about 3-5 years to create that game on PS3. Capcom is already delaying titles to take advantage of the power which means more costs. So I don't think that's really gonna change despite how 'easy' PS4 might be to program for.
Just as PSP saved devs from expensive dev costs during the PS3 lifetime we already see a similar exodus to Sony's newer portable Vita at least among the smaller developers. Mobile is the big winner for the larger publishers.
So where does PS4 domination come in? |
Where is the software? Go look at what the PS3 has in Japan. It's library is absolutely stuffed with low-cost titles. The same thing will happen with the PS4. Beyond that, many major-third party games will virtually be PS4 exclusives in Japan.
Development costs shouldn't be higher in the long run for games in the lower register. "More power" does not directly equate to elevated expenses, not once you get past high definition assets, which was also a factor last gen. There will be increases, yes, but there will also be decreases thanks to the PS4's easy to use architecture. That will reduce development time which does directly equate to money.
I don't think the PS4 is going to take Japan by storm but I also don't think it's going to do as poorly as some people suggest.
As far as head to head with the 3DS, it should win most weeks, though there will be big weeks for the 3DS that push it into first. Not really a big deal.
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PS3 is by FAR the worst selling Playstation home console in the region. So if PS4 wants to be successful I don't know if that is the library they should seek to emulate.
More power sadly does equate to elevated expenses without fail every generation of games. This is why Nintendo made the Wii and why it wasn't as powerful as PS360. Even with it's massive success the overall cost of games still skyrocketed. We already see developers like Capcom delaying titles to make use of the power and differentiate their products from PS3 ones so I wouldn't be surprised to see that trend continue.
PS3 is at 9.84 million in japan. Every other Playstation Console except Vita is at 19 million and above. PS3 was a failure in that region. I don't see anything that's changed from PS4 to mitigate it that I can see.
3DS by contrast is already over 15 million with far less time on the market in that region. I don't ever expect PS4 to get that far.
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I completely agree with everything you said, but the ps4 should sell just enough there to put it on top in world wide sales. But I too do not beleive the ps4 will alter console sales in Japan, they're just not that interested in them anymore.
