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Mummelmann said:
RenCutypoison said:
It's funny how many people say that PS4 can't beat PS2, but still post weekly estimations here that, if extended to a year, gives ps4 a 15-25 million second year of sales.


Dunno which ones you meant, but here's my simpified approximation on this year:

Q1: 2 million or so.


Sorry but your prediction is already off to a great start: Sony already sold 1.1m PS4s in Q1 through Feb 8, you expect only another 900k with the Japan launch and almost 2 months of sales in other markets? That is pretty laughable. Your predictions wont come true.

Total PS4 installbases:

March 31: 7-8m

June 30: ~10m

Sept 30: 12m

Dec 31: 18-20m (6-8m sales here, it's gonna be a crazy holiday, the first real next gen holiday)

Yields will improve considerably, production is increasing, PS4 won't be having supply issues forever, and gamers are choosing one system over the other, not only PS3 users are upgrading but 360 users are choosing a PS4 as well. It looks like PS4 is gonna have 75-80 pct marketshare between it and the Xbone.