Global SW & HW UP!! - Week ending Feb 8 (ADJUSTMENTS - PS4 157k, X1 54k, WiiU 36k - PS4 64% marketshare)

[binary solo]

daredevil.shark said:

DerNebel said:

daredevil.shark said:
Console industry is too big for three major players. Two players seems right. Its all over ps2 era again.

Wait, the console industry is too big for 3 major players, so 2 seems better? Wouldn't the console industry being too big mean that it needs more players?

There was a time when 4 players (sony, sega, microsoft and nintendo) made the industry crowded. Now console gaming has shrinked to smart phones. Plus given how consoles operate (break even or little loss from hardware and revenue from software) more players will cause more trouble.

The market is too small for one player to have iPad-like dominance of the market. But if the console market has a base of about 180-200 million (which it should) then a more even market share across three consoles is very viable (45-65 million a piece). In this, because consoles are now competing with more than just PC's for gaming attention, PS4 being as dominant long term as it appears to be is actually a negative for consoles. People are not abandoning Xbox and Wii for PS4 in huge numbers (this will be borne out by the fact that ultimately PS4 won't sell much more than PS3), they are abandoning consoles all together. And that's because MS and Nintendo have failed, so far, to convince their own 7th gen market to stay with consoles.