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I don't think it can ever happen. The only remotely plausible scenario is some indie blows up like Minecraft. Sony just isn't putting enough effort into convincing developers to make exclusive content for the device. Or even their own studios for that matter. If the million of one of the buggiest AC sold in about a year isn't enough to keep the content on the platform then I doubt the sales of any Vita title would be a success to the larger publishers. Meaning we simply wont get the big name franchises needed for the platform to succeed.