| Seece said: No idea where you're getting your figures from? All we have is 90k for Japan (first 5 weeks) and 49k for US January. Likely Europe is way under that. If January can barely hit 150k it doesn't hold much hope for Feb and March. (especially given early Jan in Japan contribuited a lot to that 150k.) Also, too much left over stock in Q4 makes it hard to guage. |
Did you not understand what I actually wrote? I used January numbers from NPD for 2013 and 2014, and then assumed that, if real YOY numbers are up 10%, then I scaled the February and March 2013 numbers up by 10% (using the 40k estimate for adjusted 4-week January 2013 value, it's actually up 22.5%, so I scaled them up by 22.5%).
For Japan and Europe, I did a similar analysis, scaling based on January numbers for 2013 and 2014, but using VGChartz numbers since I didn't have easy access to Media Create or Famitsu numbers, and there's no solid numbers for Europe. And I wasn't counting the first week, to be consistent with NPD in 2014. Using those four weeks for 2014, that's 40k - VGChartz has 55k for that first week of 2014, so that explains the 90k value from Media Create (within margin of error, no doubt). Note that using the extra week is roughly the same - Japan January 2014 works out to about 68-69% of 2013, irrespective of whether you include that first week.
