| Seece said: They did, 6.2m! But they have forecast 390k shipped this Q, same as last year. With only DK (which won't do much outside Japan) it'll be interesting to see if they hit it. |
We can estimate where it's heading for based on available data - if we assume that things remain fairly consistent but scaled (Wii U didn't get much of note in Jan-Mar 2013, either), then on US numbers, we'd have 49k+75k+79k = 203k. Adding about 10% for Canada (it's actually 9.1% or so, but let's not quibble the minor details), we're up to 223k. So they would just need another 167k between Europe, Japan, and the rest of the world. Note that this is ignoring that first week, which would probably influence amounts that Nintendo ends up shipping.
If you have a suitable source for Media Create numbers that don't require me to go through and find a heap of different threads/pages, I'd be interested. In the meantime, I'll use VGChartz numbers for Japan. January 2013, 62.5k. January 2014, 43k, so down to 69% of 2013. This gives Japan's contribution at around 107k. So Europe and Rest of World just needs to contribute 60k. According to VGChartz, Europe's already at 46k, so 60k should be easy.
