January 2014 NPD Thread! - PS4: 271k, XBO: 141k, WiiU: 49k

[binary solo]

TheSource said:

I've got about 41.6m lifetime for Wii in the US, 41.1m for X360 in the US. If the X360 really sold less than 50k and Wii sold less than 25k, all off the sudden it looks like X360 outselling Wii cumulatively in the US is off the table again. The margins will only shrink on average with time as both remnants of the long tail collapse.

I really don't understand why people are so surprised with the low numbers, it was pretty obvious by mid-2011 that everything was going to decline very rapidly starting in 2012, and so all the new consoles really should have been out by December 2012.

PS3, by the way, is at 25.6m lifetime, so that <60k figure that  is being rumored is arguably worse than the X360 / Wii low figures as it's been on the market a short time and has the most users to sell to.

The figures for January imply Wii at < 0.3m, for 2014 in the US, PS3 at <0.8m and X360 at <0.65m

X1 more like 2-3m

PS4 - 4m-5m

Wii U -  0.7m

3DS - 2m-3m

That's a weird way to put it. The US market is saturated for Gen 7. Only a certain number of people are ever going to buy >1 console per generatrion so PS3 has essentially no market to sell to. If you figure at least 50% of Wii buyers are the blue ocean crowd then Wii/2+360+PS3 ~ gen 6 sales*2. So who among the "real" gamers is really left to buy PS3? And this is also why gen 7 consoles are dying super fast. And now that the 8th gen has started the fact PS3 has been on the market a shorter time is irrelevant. It's a new generation and that's what's taking all the mindshare now.

I think all the 7th gen consoles will have one more holiday in the major markets and then they will be discontinued. Some of the developing markets might stock the end of life units for a while longer, but from 2015 7th gen sales will effectively be zero.