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jlmurph2 said:
There's no big casual attraction that the Wii had in 7th gen for either system. And the PS2 controlled the 3rd party market in gen 6, had US dominated and was on the market for 12 years. Neither consoles fit the criteria to hit the same level as Wii or PS2.


Agreed.

Not only that, but, no matter if people like this or not, overall videogame console (home + handheld) business has been declining since 2008. And this is not only because of "the end of a generation", it´s also due to the lost of millions of "casual" consumers / family games consumers. 

For both consoles reach those numbers we should expect the market to get at least a little rise or keep its 2013 status. Unfortunately, companies are miserably failing in getting new consumers, because the average "casual' gamer is now way more interested in tablets, phones and Pc´s  than game consoles. The decrease in sales of such huge series like Just Dance and Wii Fit shows that.

There´s no reason, at least for now, to think that business will have a rise in 2014 and beyond. So I dont believe either device will reach 100 million, although I see Ps4 getting very close. If Sony comes up with some interesting (and cheap) idea for the casuals, it may reach it.