Augen said:
I would be ecstatic to see just a small 10% decline, as feel be roughly a 30% decline. The Nintendo Wii was like nothing I have ever witnessed, I saw so many people make it their first console purchase or first one in well over a decade. It expanded consoles in a massive way, and thus far all those people seem content to either continue playing Wii or have moved to tablets and phones. That is the big decline to me. Nintendo will likely see a 60-70% decrease this generation, and Sony and Microsoft have not shown me yet anything that will have a Wii like effect. The market is bigger than ever, but it is also far more saturated than ever. My predictions were based off a 6-7 year console cycle. |
Well if you look at 360's Launch, it took the first year to hit 6 million or just under.
It also took sony a full year to hit just over 6 million.
Sony's first year 6,017,487
Xbox 360's first year 5,933,110
Xbox one currently is at 3.4
Ps4 is currently at 5.1
So considering how fast they are moving in 3 months. I don't think we will see a decline. Thats why I posted so high. People are not ready for all online all the time yet, as we seen with Xbox's horrible launch campaign.
Games on phones and tablets is just to pass the time in a doctors office or on the way to work. other then that, people want the real experience, which is consoles. You can't get that off your phone or tablet. At least I don't think so. I have 55" Led 240 Hz 3d tv though. However many have big screen tv's today.
