Cobretti2 on 11 February 2014
| Augen said: I expect at least a ~30% decline on total console sales this generation. Last generation saw ~260 million consoles sold This generation I would venture have ~180 million consoles sold total The odds of two consoles breaking 100 million mark in a generation is hard to believe. My predictions now base don a 6-7 year life cycle? PlayStation 4 - 90-100 million Xbox One - 50-60 million Wii U - 30-35million Total - 170-195 million I would love to be wrong and see consoles sell like hotcakes for years to come. |
nice approach to the problem. Only thing I would question is the 30% decline. Mainly because Wii sold to a lot of casual and a small percentage of PS3s early on where sold as blu ray players and/or given away with TVs as bluray players to sell Sony's TVs.
I wouldn't be surpised if the drop of is somewhere closer to 40% in the long run.
But who knows what will happen maybe one of them or al lof them show us something unique that will ignite sales. This thread will be fun to read in a few years tim to see how close people are in their predictions.
