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I think Nintendo will be around a LONG while, and Sony will also be around for a while. Microsoft, will be gone in 10~20 years i think.. concerning its console making.
Sony and Nintendo have quite a reputation, and that will help them last. In a couple of years, the ps3 won't always get the bad rap like it is now, (among the general population) IMO, so Sony will probably be viewed more favorably than it is now.