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torok said:
RavenXtra said:
I don't think so. PS4 seems to have no trouble selling, while the PS2's lifespan was extended because PS3 failed to catch on early in its life. Even if it doesn't sell 100m, PS3 still did extraordinarily well for itself, considering the first few years of its life.


PS1 did 28M after PS2 launch. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PlayStation_models#PSone. So the no catch argument isn't valid. PS3 doesn't compete with PS4. People that game and have money will buy PS4s because they already have a PS3. Who doesn't have a PS3 yet, is probably because it couldn't afford one. These people are waiting for PS3 to drop price and can only dream about a PS4.

ps2 launched 5 years after the ps1, ps3 6 after the ps2 and the ps4 7 years after the ps3. It's not just about "no competition" between ps3 and ps4 it's about the lifespan of the console. Ps1 and Ps1 were undisputed market leaders of there generations in all reagions the ps3 doesnt have that. That means the sales after this gen started will be more split and retailers will wan't to move on to the next gen where they can make more on the new software.

Pricecuts alone won't keep ps3 sales up.

The only thing some could say is going for the ps3 that the ps1/2 didn't have is that if people want to play ps3 on a console it has to be on a ps3. The ps4 isn't backward compatible. Though if the playstation now works well that might not matter.

How many more years do you see the ps3 selling for? How many do you see it selling each of those years? Do you expect a reasonable decline year over year and lifespan? Or do you expect it to somehow hold on at a higher rate and for longer than is likely?