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joeorc said:
Nirvana_Nut85 said:

I can't see Sony justifying production into 2020. This will most likely be the peak year for Vita sales, with a gradual incline thereafter, which is why I've drawn the plausibility of the console itself being discontinued and possibility falling short of GameGears ltd.

 i see where you are going with this, but I think many are not taking into accout the ways that Sony can penetrate the PSVita into the market!

Take for instance, if you were just counting the PSVita by itself that would be one thing, but Sony could indeed install a PSVita hardware into a LCD TV, the

PSVita TV has yet to release in the west yet.

They could indeed bundle the PSVita TV with a PS4 as a bundle maybe even for as low as $50.00 more in 2015 with a PS4.

all playstation Vita's contain the exact same cpu/gpu chipset so its formfactor may change but the software can run on all of them.

PSVita is Sony's ver of the

intel nuc htpc

or

Apple's   Apple TV

the fact that not even into the full 2nd year on the market Sony already had the PSVita TV ready to go, already talked about Playstation Suite right on stage day and date taking up event time for the NGP or PSVita as it is known now. the fact the PSVita TV was released so fact to the market just intime for Gaikai, and playstation Now investment, and you really think Sony invested all that money to pull any playstation Vita soon?

Better yet, is there any sign clear sign that the PSVita is being pulled fast like the PSPGo was or the Xperia Play? Not by Numer's but by a sheer number of retail outlets that refust to carry the PSVita? until that happens than its pretty much a moot point than.

I'm taking everything into account. I'm not claiming that the scenario I advised will 100% happen as that would be foolish. I am providing a plausible scenario and backing it up with data as an outcome that could unfortunately happen to the PS Vita if the current situation continues.

I wouldn't count on the PS Vita unfortunately. It barely penetrated the Japanese market where everyone was expecting it to do well. It doesn't have a snowballs chance in the West in my opinion and even if they did bundle it for an extra $50 , who would buy it? If anything, Sony should add psp titles to Gaikai when it is released and then you'll see some significant profits on Vita titles.

Like I've stated earlier, I don't forsee Sony pulling the Vita off the shelves anytime soon, however, based on numbers, if the trend continues end of 2015 becomes a likely scenario. Even if they manged to move 1.5 mill in Japan lets say this year. N.A & E.U will guarenteed decline significantly as from previous years. The question is, after 2014, will they produce a console that is costing them money and only selling in the 1+ million. I don't beleive they will.

As for retailers I don't know where you live, but as a frequent purchaser of electronics, you can't help but notice how the Vita has dwindled in stock in a good majority of the stores (and that is not sales)



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